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The Avengers : Why Gun Boat Will Not Work. - Politics - Nairaland 3x2z6j

The Avengers : Why Gun Boat Will Not Work. (3663 Views)

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Built2last: 4:53pm On Jun 01, 2016
How many Nigerian Soldiers can swim? Most Soldiers are from the north and have never swam before.

The Avengers: why gunboat show will not work
______________________________________________

All through history and military warfare, the use of gunboat diplomacy is thought to be the ace in the arsenal of superior power. And what is gunboat diplomacy? During the first gulf war, the US deployed overwhelming military fire power and eventually had Saddam Hussein redirecting his army back to Baghdad. Saddam Hussein knew that the Iragi army could not afford to stand toe to toe with the coalition forces. That was a show of gunboat diplomacy.

However, the advantages of gunboat diplomacy are limited when such overwhelming firepower is faced with a guerilla warfare where the opposing force too is armed to the teeth. The difference in the guerilla army is that it is relatively small, extremely mobile and lethal. Again, such a guerilla army is very conversant with the terrain, perhaps much more than the invading forces. Second, they can adapt to the terrain more easily than the invading forces. Third, and perhaps most important factor is that in the Niger Delta, the Avengers are determined to free their region from decades of marginalisation. So, even general Alexander the great knew that overcoming the determination of oppressed people had to take supreme and divine intervention.

There is no point here to bore you with the histories of general WestMoreland, MacAuthor, George Patton and general Colin Powell. The point is, in the Avengers the Nigerian army would be facing a hard nut to crack in the complex network of meandering creeks and marshlands that makeup swaths of the Niger Delta. Soldiers will be carrying backpacks loaded with items twice their weight. The terrain is not the north east. Here, the weather is dense, humid and suffocating in the marshlands. In such conditions, very easy for an army to lose focus. And the alternative, bombing the region out of existence is not pretty either.

There is something more. The Avengers are not going to be moving in known military formations. The guerillas will be moving in the rain, at night, swimming through water to hit their targets. How many soldiers currently deployed to the region can swim? So, for these soldiers with limited swimming abilities, already, the morale is not where it should be. During the Biafran civil war, the army was smart enough to establish the 3rd Marine Commandoes which consisted mainly troops from the Niger Delta. That strategy eventually became the deciding factor for victory.

In this case, the army is relying on drafting troops to occupy villages and towns to intimidate the civilian population with hope that the innocent villagers will rush into the bush and drag out of the Avengers! That is the most bastardized military strategy ever. It is second only to Buhari drafting the military high command to Maiduguri to face Boko Haram.

In the current military adventurism in the Niger Delta, the school of thought that the overwhelming deployment of military hardware will determine desired outcomes waits to be seen. Pray that the Avengers, the Egbesu Red Sea Lions, the Niger Delta Suicide Squad and other militant groups decide that Buhari and his generals should be given a soft landing through a roundtable dialogue. Just pray.

__________ Ebi B Asain

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HungerBAD: 4:54pm On Jun 01, 2016
Following

1 Like 2 Shares

idu1(m): 5:44pm On Jun 01, 2016
My friend, dont worry yourself.


Let the war start first we go know who sabi swim undecided

3 Likes

YTkester: 6:03pm On Jun 01, 2016
Good write-up. But, will they listen? I don't think so!

1 Like

Princewill1(m): 6:07pm On Jun 01, 2016
The Avengers said last 2 weeks that some creeks are not navigable by boat nor accessible by vehicle.Also even helicopters and fighter jets will found it difficulty to spot persons in the creek in the day not to talk of at the night.And if you notice the pattern of Avengers,the usually attack at night.

There is no way a fulani soldier from a desert land of Sokoto will come and defeat someone in the creeks of ND,even the sea gods will be against him.

9 Likes

rottennaija(m): 6:24pm On Jun 01, 2016
...
989900: 6:56pm On Jun 01, 2016
Guerrilla warfare's successes have been diminishing since the early 80s.

These scavengers don't even for guerrilla combatants. They are more or less 'at this stage', a rag-tag of confused rascals.

You guys need to read more about stuffs before taking up assumed positions.

Everything is screwed against them, they are more or less boxed-in. Above all, the locals and the local/state governments can't openly them.

They will eventually run out of money, food, supplies, and time.


Boko Haram is one of the most dangerous group to deal with, as they are suicidal. Yet, the NA has largely degraded them.

Boko Haram is more equipped, they had tanks and APC carriers at a time. They had the sympathy of the locals, and a very, very, porous border to work with, and rich sponsors too.

8 Likes

Soneh(m): 7:52pm On Jun 01, 2016
989900:
Guerrilla warfare's successes have been diminishing since the early 80s.

These scavengers don't even for guerrilla combatants. They are more or less 'at this stage', a rag-tag of confused rascals.

You guys need to read more about stuffs before taking up assumed positions.

Everything is screwed against them, they are more or less boxed-in. Above all, the locals and the local/state governments can't openly them.

They will eventually run out of money, food, supplies, and time.


Boko Haram is one of the most dangerous group to deal with, as they are suicidal. Yet, the NA has largely degraded them.

Boko Haram is more equipped, they had tanks and APC carriers at a time. They had the sympathy of the locals, and a very, very, porous border to work with, and rich sponsors too.
so you knew their sponsors all this while but decided to remain quiet .dont worry we are sending the dss after you

11 Likes

989900: 7:56pm On Jun 01, 2016
Soneh:

so you knew their sponsors all this while but decided to remain quiet .dont worry we are sending the dss after you

cheesy
modath(f): 8:05pm On Jun 01, 2016
OP,

You waxed so much lyrical that i almost got carried away, then i ed this rag tag group are all about stomach and pocket infrastructure, they really don't care about no one!!!

I sincerely wish they will try NA tommorrow at Ogoni but they won't, they'll lie that they didn't issue such threats.

1 Like

MeAboki(m): 8:11pm On Jun 01, 2016
All this na dogon turanci (long grammar) let the two forces engage then we'll see who will first blink.
989900: 8:23pm On Jun 01, 2016
Nigerian Navy SBS: one of the most well trained and disciplined team of the Nigerian Armed Forces -- this is what they do for a living.
It is predominantly focused on, but not restricted to; littoral and riverine operations, including reconnaissance and surveillance; covert beach reconnaissance in advance of an amphibious assault; recovery or protection of ships and oil installations subject to hostile state or non-state action; maritime counter-terrorism; and offensive action.

They will lead the assault . . . most of them are local boys from the creeks too. The Army and Airforce will be backup.

2 Likes

SirVintageCock: 8:26pm On Jun 01, 2016
989900:
Nigerian Navy SBS: one of the most well trained and disciplined team of the Nigerian Armed Forces -- this is what they do for a living.
It is predominantly focused on, but not restricted to; littoral and riverine operations, including reconnaissance and surveillance; covert beach reconnaissance in advance of an amphibious assault; recovery or protection of ships and oil installations subject to hostile state or non-state action; maritime counter-terrorism; and offensive action.
They will lead the assault. The Army and Airforce will be backup.

MeAboki:
All this na dogon turanci (long grammar) let the two forces engage then we'll see who will first blink.
modath:

OP,

You waxed so much lyrical that i almost got carried away, then i ed this rag tag group are all about stomach and pocket infrastructure, they really don't care about no one!!!

I sincerely wish they will try NA tommorrow at Ogoni but they won't, they'll lie that they didn't issue such threats.
This posts will be archived especially for those who will eat their words later.

2 Likes

Itoro350(m): 8:44pm On Jun 01, 2016
May God have mercy on us. Smh :-
BushDoctor123: 8:44pm On Jun 01, 2016
Princewill1:
The Avengers said last 2 weeks that some creeks are not navigable by boat nor accessible by vehicle.Also even helicopters and fighter jets will found it difficulty to spot persons in the creek in the day not to talk of at the night.And if you notice the pattern of Avengers,the usually attack at night.

There is no way a fulani soldier from a desert land of Sokoto will come and defeat someone in the creeks of ND,even the sea gods will be against him.
BushDoctor123: 8:48pm On Jun 01, 2016
Princewill1:
The Avengers said last 2 weeks that some creeks are not navigable by boat nor accessible by vehicle.Also even helicopters and fighter jets will found it difficulty to spot persons in the creek in the day not to talk of at the night.And if you notice the pattern of Avengers,the usually attack at night.

There is no way a fulani soldier from a desert land of Sokoto will come and defeat someone in the creeks of ND,even the sea gods will be against him.
The antidole for the sea gods is pour ogogoro into the sea, then you are free to go. lol

1 Like

OrIandoOwoh(m): 8:55pm On Jun 01, 2016
It must work oooo..it must work... Just scream "sai baba" and watch how the aboooki soldiers magically start swimming... grin

9 Likes 1 Share

MeAboki(m): 9:38pm On Jun 01, 2016
SirVintageCock:
This posts will be archived especially for those who will eat their words later.

By all means, feel free to do just that; though I am confident you would have no need to bring it up in future because the matter would have long been resolved in favour of the Nigerian government.
AZeD1(m): 10:17pm On Jun 01, 2016
Built2last:
How many Nigerian Soldiers can swim? Most Soldiers are from the north and have never swam before.

Immediately I saw this, I knew the rest of the article would be trash.
FYI there are rivers in the Northern part of Nigeria. That is rivers with an S.

2 Likes

Re: The Avengers : Why Gun Boat Will Not Work. by Nobody: 10:29pm On Jun 01, 2016
ever heard of amphibious training school ,the crocodiles or SBS , most of you don't know jack about the Nigerian military.
make I see the egbesu wey go dust 12.7mm or 23mm

2 Likes

vivalavida(m): 10:36pm On Jun 01, 2016
Princewill1:
The Avengers said last 2 weeks that some creeks are not navigable by boat nor accessible by vehicle.Also even helicopters and fighter jets will found it difficulty to spot persons in the creek in the day not to talk of at the night.And if you notice the pattern of Avengers,the usually attack at night.

There is no way a fulani soldier from a desert land of Sokoto will come and defeat someone in the creeks of ND,even the sea gods will be against him.

Gbam

1 Like

Re: The Avengers : Why Gun Boat Will Not Work. by Nobody: 11:09pm On Jun 01, 2016
Nigerdeltaboi:
ever heard of amphibious training school ,the crocodiles or SBS , most of you don't know jack about the Nigerian military.
make I see the egbesu wey go dust 12.7mm or 23mm

I just shake my head when I read their comments.
It's the fccckin Nigerian Army we are talking about!
sanandreas(m): 11:25pm On Jun 01, 2016
These guys are not rag tags. They are learned and they seems to be reading war books and that is why their attacks are successful. Holes in promises lead us to where we are now. Trust is a big issue here.

2 Likes

xtgozie(m): 11:36pm On Jun 01, 2016
989900:
Guerrilla warfare's successes have been diminishing since the early 80s.

These scavengers don't even for guerrilla combatants. They are more or less 'at this stage', a rag-tag of confused rascals.

You guys need to read more about stuffs before taking up assumed positions.

Everything is screwed against them, they are more or less boxed-in. Above all, the locals and the local/state governments can't openly them.

They will eventually run out of money, food, supplies, and time.


Boko Haram is one of the most dangerous group to deal with, as they are suicidal. Yet, the NA has largely degraded them.

Boko Haram is more equipped, they had tanks and APC carriers at a time. They had the sympathy of the locals, and a very, very, porous border to work with, and rich sponsors too.

Should I clap for you?
nonsense

2 Likes

Horus(m): 11:40pm On Jun 01, 2016

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9GLCLCHy8A

[size=14pt]Nigerian Army Commissions Gun Boats to tackle militancy
in the Niger delta[/size]

The Chief of Defence Staff, General Gabriel Olonishakin says the armed forces is prepared to tackle resurgence of militancy in the Niger delta region. He made this known while commissioning twelve refurbished gun boats by the two brigade Nigerian army in Okrika, Rivers state
Truthfulm(m): 12:56am On Jun 02, 2016
The money spent by the government to attack could have been used in completing the maritime university. This war against the Nda by the army can rarely be won by the govt, it's like a lion taking on a shark in a sea. The best solution is still a dialog, but can pmb take the bull by the horn? The answer lies in the womb of time.

1 Like

8BitGee(m): 1:33am On Jun 02, 2016
It's silly and hypocritical for anyone to ask the federal government to "dialogue" with the Niger delta criminals. It is a criminal offence to undermine or attempt to break the unity of the Nigerian state. The military and security agencies are simply doing their jobs. The criminals must be brought to justice such that other groups don't think they can take up arms against us next time.

I'm not against agitations for infrastructural development for the Niger delta, but taking up arms is never the way to go.

Ask, they have local councils, state governments, national assembly , NDDC, ministry of Niger Delta, amnesty program, 13% derivation, CSR by IOCs etc., what have they used all these for?

They are criminals with political backings, the military should deal with them ruthlessly. In fact, the national assembly ought to right now a law to punish vandalism, kidnapping and oil theft.

Enough of the blackmail! There's no reward for crime.

3 Likes

tdayof(m): 3:07am On Jun 02, 2016
You don't expect such activities to be happening and no gunboats should be deployed..
Even in the US armed forces when there is need for negotiations there will be battle ready military presence and equipment available.

2 Likes

isher: 3:42am On Jun 02, 2016
Why is there so much ignorance in Nigeria? Also so much intellectual laziness. Guerilla warfare is dead. It died in the 80s. Also the idea that the Niger Delta terrain is a big mystery to the Nigerian Army, Navy and Nigerian Airforce is a big ERROR. What is mysterious about a region that has 6 big multinational companies.

Soldiers and other security agencies have been operating there for decades. I have interacted with many northern soldiers in the Niger Delta sinice 1989.

Generals like Danjuma, Abacha, Obj and many others cut their teeth in the area. In fact two of the ones I just mentioned had loads of girl friends in the area in the 70s. These people are so familiar with the ND and it's people that they were the ones who put names of Rivers indigenes forward for appointment during the military regimes. Atiku as well- very familiar with the ND.

As for terrain, all satellies maps and air surveillance on the Niger Delta show up more clearly to the military than Sambisa forests.

The resort to violence by NDA is a very great mistake and the single out of Chevron facilities for destruction is the mistake if the century.
Buhari made two strategic visits to Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea last month, the US is now on board with defence intelligence, the NAF will soon get more surveillance and precision strike gadgets and Security and Civil Defence NSCDC had its budget tripled in 2016 .
All the pieces are in place.

4 Likes 1 Share

989900: 7:16am On Jun 02, 2016
xtgozie:


Should I clap for you?
nonsense

Yes.
989900: 7:32am On Jun 02, 2016
Truthfulm:
The money spent by the government to attack could have been used in completing the maritime university. This war against the Nda by the army can rarely be won by the govt, it's like a lion taking on a shark in a sea. The best solution is still a dialog, but can pmb take the bull by the horn? The answer lies in the womb of time.

There is a reason why we have a defense budget (to defend the country against all enemies, both foreign and domestic).

Like I said somewhere earlier, it is by far easier for the President to bribe militants and all agitators alike, to the detriment of the suffering workers and people of those states, but will that be doing the right thing?

PMB, may not always be right, but so far, you can't doubt his patriotism and his commitment to doing what is right to the best of his ability.

And in this instance, he is tackling the problem head-on, and by the time he is through with the ND in of better life/entitlements for the hardworking people of those states, the locals themselves will give any ugly head rearing militant the jungle justice by themselves
.

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